Re-entry prediction and demisability analysis for the atmospheric disposal of geosynchronous satellites

The paper presents a re-entry analysis of Geosynchronous Orbit (GSO) satellites on disposal trajectories that enhance the effects Earth oblateness and lunisolar perturbations. These types can lead to natural spacecraft within 20 years. An was performed characterise entry conditions for these risk they pose people ground if via is used. first proposes methodology interface long-term propagation used study evolution destructive simulations assess casualty risk. This achieved by revisiting concept overshoot boundary. also demisability representative configuration, showing greater than 10−4 threshold further actions should be taken improve compliance in case